Table 1

Livestock risk assessment in Senegal and risk prioritisation in the Ferlo region.

Évaluation des risques dans le secteur de l’élevage au Sénégal et priorisation au Ferlo.

Risks related to Worse-case scenario Average frequency Average annual losses Score1 Ferlo’s risk prioritization
Bush fires Very significant Very significant Very significant 5 High
Animal health Very significant Significant Very significant 4.6 Average
Rainfall Very significant Medium Significant 3.84 Average
The market Low Significant Low 2.62 Average
Conflicts Medium Very low Low 1.81 High
Plagues of locusts Very low Very low Low 1.31 Weak

Risk scores are based on the evaluation of the frequency and severity of risks, then ranked in order of significance: Score risk = 0.75 × (Average losses × frequency)^0.5 + 0.25 × Severe losses.

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